Making money from betting on tennis is no easy feat. It can take years of experience before consistently being able to spot good value and becoming profitable. One way to speed up this process and start landing winners immediately, however, is by taking advantage of tennis picks.
In this article, we go over everything that you need to know about tennis picks, including what they are, where to find them, how to differentiate between good and bad tipsters and how you can create your own.
Latest Tennis Picks
What are Tennis Picks?
Tennis picks are essentially predictions of the outcome of a tennis match or tournament which can be applied to betting markets.
The most common and straightforward pick is on the moneyline, which is just predicting the winner of a match. However, you will also encounter many other types of picks including how many sets a player will win, the overall winner of a tournament, how many aces a player will get and more.
Anyone can make a pick, so called because you are attempting to pick the winning outcome of a betting market, but it is finding a tipster who is provably profitable over time that is the key to being successful. The best picks and predictions are made by seasoned tennis gamblers who use their knowledge and experience to make informed decisions or identify price value when predicting outcomes.
However, it is important to note that even the best tipsters will have plenty of losing picks and it is impossible to be correct all the time. Still, reliable picks are a great weapon in a gambler’s arsenal and, if used correctly, can significantly increase their winning percentage.
How to Find the Best Tennis Picks Today
Finding the best tennis picks can be a challenging task. Considering the overwhelming number of results that appear when you search for ‘tennis picks’ on a search engine, or the volume of self-proclaimed tipping experts on social media, it can be difficult to distinguish between good and bad tipsters.
At Sportslens, we provide our own daily tennis picks, produced by experts with a proven track record of accurate predictions and picks. However, we understand the importance of using multiple sources for tennis picks. To help you understand how we have formulated our picks, and to aid you when trying to create your own, we’ve highlighted key factors that differentiate good picks from bad ones.
Tipping Records
As mentioned above, there are a huge range of tennis betting picks available online and it can be tough to sort the good from the bad. However, one way to do this is by looking at the track record of the tipster in order to find out how accurate their previous picks have been over time.
Rather than simply looking at the number of bets they win versus the number that they lose, it is also important to understand the types of bets they are making and the average odds of their winners, to gauge their overall profitability.
A tipster might have a high win percentage if they are repeatedly tipping short-priced favorites but could still be less profitable overall than someone with a lower win percentage who tips high-priced winners. If they have a good record of picking the winners of close games or futures with longer odds, for example, this might indicate a higher level of overall ability.
Read Forums
Another approach is to utilize tennis forums and seek the opinions of fellow bettors about a specific tipster. Platforms like Reddit serve as a valuable resource where you can uncover experiences and insights shared by others about who may have followed them previously.
This method is particularly useful if considering paid tennis picks, when the true measure of their expertise lies in the feedback provided by previous users of the service and the number of existing subscribers that they have.
There are a huge selection of free tennis consensus picks and expert picks available, including our own. With that in mind, we recommend refraining from paying for picks unless you are completely confident in their legitimacy and they offer information that cannot be gained elsewhere for free.
Use Your Own Knowledge
Once you have gained tennis betting experience and knowledge, you can utilize it to assess whether you agree with a pick or even create your own. If an expert’s analysis hasn’t considered something important which you have picked up on, then you can use your own judgement and either avoid the pick completely or even bet against it.
Check the Software for Tennis Computer Picks
Computer picks are predictions made by an AI algorithm which simulates a match tens of thousands of times based on the data inputted into it. As well as checking the track record of these computer picks, you can consider the data which is inputted into the algorithm. In general, the more data the better.
Furthermore, be sure to check what kind of data can the computer can process, as many cannot process things like match conditions and injuries.
How to Create Your Own Tennis Picks
If you are confident that you have a good understanding of tennis betting, you may wish to start producing your own picks. In this section, we lay out our top tennis betting tips to help you generate picks and predictions.
Research Player Form and Performance
Researching player form is the first step anybody should take when making tennis picks. Form, recent results on the playing surface and the performance of players involved all should be considered.
In addition, the different playing styles of the competitors and how these types of players usually fare against the style of their opponent can influence the result.
It’s also imperative to look at any injuries a player may be carrying that could potentially impact their performance.
Consider Head-to-Head Records
Head-to-head records can be insightful, particularly if the two players have come up against each other multiple times in the past.
By looking at these records, you might discover that certain matchups favor one player over the other. This could be for multiple reasons but if one player has won a high percentage of the matches previously played, then it might indicate that their specific style or perhaps a particular surface gives them the edge in the encounter.
Consider the Surface
The surface of the tennis court can massively impact a player’s chances in a matchup.
For example, Rafael Nadal has a huge 91.2% win rate on clay whereas his win percentage on grass and hard court is around 78%. If you look at the head-to-head record between Nadal and Djokovic, Nadal leads Djokovic 20-8 on clay but Djokovic leads Nadal 20-7 on hard court.
However, Nadal’s clay dominance is likely to be reflected in his match odds and if you think that his odds are actually too short, you may even consider backing against him at a high price.
Take into Account Match Conditions
You should always make sure to check match conditions such as the weather, court speed, and the time of day a match will be played.
Weather, for example, can have a significant impact on a game as it will affect the bounce and speed of the ball. In higher temperatures, the ball will bounce higher due to gas molecules in the ball expanding, whereas games played in humid weather can cause a ball to become wetter thus slowing it down and making it harder to hit powerful winning shots.
Lots of tournaments now have nighttime games, which also tend to slow down the ball as the weather is cooler and the humidity is often higher. Understanding and applying these dynamics to your picks can give you an edge over the competition.
Utilize Experts
Even if you are confident in your own tennis picks you should still read or listen to the opinions of experts, which can give you a more fully rounded outlook.
You may have missed something that an expert has picked up on or pick some some insider knowledge and you can use this information to formulate your own tennis picks. You don’t have to follow their viewpoint but can use their information to make better informed decisions.
Evaluate Your Picks
Looking back at losing picks is essential if you want to continually improve your tennis picks.
If your prediction was wrong, evaluate why you made that pick and why it didn’t win. Was it some unforeseeable event, a freak occurrence or did you miss something before the match such as accounting for the surface type, playing conditions, or an injury?
By evaluating your picks, making a record of your bets and understanding your mistakes, you will continue to develop your tennis picks and understand which markets you excel at. It’s impossible to be right all of the time but if you are in profit overall then you’re doing well.
Different Types of Tennis Picks
There are multiple tennis markets to bet on which means a wide variety of possible picks. Below we go over the different types of tennis picks including match, set, spread, futures, and props.
Match Betting Picks
Tennis match betting picks, also known as the moneyline, is the simplest type of picks that can be made. All you have to do is predict which player will win the match.
Set Betting Picks
There are various types of set betting picks on offer.
The most common is betting on how many sets will be played in a match. For example in a best-of-five match then there are three outcomes, either three (3-0 to either player), four (3-1) or five sets (3-2).
Picks can also be made on individual sets, including who will win or how many games will take place. Another type set betting is predicting the exact score of a set. As there are 14 different potential outcomes, you can expect reasonably high odds on some of them.
Game Spread Betting Picks
Game spread tennis picks involve predicting how many games a player will win by and effectively act as a handicap to the favorite in the match to level the playing field.
For example, if the favorite begins the match with a -4.5 game handicap, it means that they need to win by five or more games overall to beat the spread. If they fail to do this and win by four games or less, or even lose the match, the other player will beat the spread instead.
Set Spread Betting Picks
You can also predict a set spread. This works in exactly the same way as game spread betting except with the sets that a player wins. Naturally with most match only featuring three or five sets, there is less flexibility over the lines that any offshore sportsbook can offer but it can still be a useful way of making uneven matches more attractive to bet on.
Totals Picks
Tennis totals picks, also known as over/unders, involve predicting how many games will be played in the match.
For example, in a tennis match with a best-of-five sets, you might see an over of +40.5 and an under of -40.5. This means that if a match end in three sets of 6-0,6-4, 6-3 the total number of games played is 25 which means the under bet is the winner. If the match ended in four sets with a score of 6-4, 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 then 44 games will have been played and the over bet is the winner.
Futures Picks
Tennis future picks require you to bet on long term results, such as the overall winner of a tournament, and can be among the most difficult to win on. However, this also means that they will typically offer big odds.
You can pick a player, or several players, to win Wimbledon or the US Open before the tournament has even started and their odds will be far bigger than they would be for a specific match as they reflect the reality of that player needing to win multiple matches to be successful in the bet.
You can still place futures once a tournament or season has started but the odds will change after each match. So, for every round through a tournament that a player manages to navigate, their odds will decrease as their likelihood increases,
Prop Betting Picks
Tennis prop betting, which is short for proposition betting, is a special type of wager which is typically unrelated the overall outcome of a match.
Prop bets require you to predict whether or not an event will or will not happen in a game. Some of the most popular prop bets on tennis are the number of aces or which player will have the most aces, and which player will have the most double faults.
How to Sign up and Bet on Tennis Picks
Signing up to a sportsbook and betting on your tennis picks today is a quick and easy process that will take just a few minutes. In this section, we will walk you through each step. We are using our preferred sports betting site BetOnline as an example but you will find most sports betting sites have an almost identical process.
Step 1: Visit Your Chosen Sportsbook
The first step is incredibly easy visit your chosen sportsbook to place bets, if you are unsure of what sportsbook to sign up to then check out our top “Best tennis betting sites” guide. At our favorite sportsbook BetOnline, once on the homepage click on the “JOIN” button in the top right-hand side of the screen.
Step 2: Create an Account
You will then be required to create an account. To do this you will need to fill in a short form with some of your personal details including name, DOB, email, address, and phone number. You will also be asked to create a password for your account.
Step 3: Make a Deposit
After your account is all set up the next step is depositing some funds into your account. First, you will be asked to select your preferred method of payment. we recommend using crypto as there are no fees, transactions are incredibly quick and it also offers you anonymity and extra security. Once you have decided on how you would like to deposit select the amount you want to deposit and be sure to enter your BetOnline promo code to claim your welcome bonus.
Step 4: Place a Bet on Your Tennis Betting Pick
Now you are all ready to place your bet on your chosen tennis pick. You can select tennis on the left-hand side of the screen which will bring a drop-down menu on all of the current tennis events you are able to bet on. Select the event and then choose the match you want to bet on and it will be added to your bet slip on the right, input the amount you would like to wager and then click “Place Bet”.
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Joe Yarnold
Joe Yarnold
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